Friday 05/15/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Friday 05/15/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Craig Trapp

-=TOP PLAY=- MLB | May 15
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Cincinnati Reds -120

Rough Bonus Play loss yesterday ending our three game win streak. Today we go back to what got us the hot streak, MLB!! All trends and capping point to a very easy winner tonight. Lets get back on track!


Records


Cincinnati Reds 20-14, 13-5 away (Harang 3-3, 2.93 ERA)


San Diego Padres 13-22, 8-6 home (Correia 0-2, 5.34 ERA)



Betting Trends


SD are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.


Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.


Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.


Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.



Two teams headed in opposite directions: Reds 3 wins in a row, Padres lost 6 in a row!! Also Harang has been unbelievable this year for the Reds only giving up more than 2 runs twice out of seven starts. Early in the season the Reds were winning with dominating pitching but the last 6 games has seen the bats heat up averaging over 7 runs per game against several good pitchers in that string. Even better for Harang is that the Padres have been in a slump over the last month where they have only 4 wins out of 23 games and averaging less than three runs. Padres had to travel home late last night whereas the Reds were waiting for them in San Diego on an off day yesterday. A hot rested team verse a cold tired team, pretty easy capping. SCORE: REDS 6 - SD 1
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Marc Lawrence

MLB | May 15
Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers -140

Play On: Detroit w/Jackson vs Anderson
Note: The Tigers open a three game set with the A's in the Motor City tonight when Edwin Jackson takes on Brett Anderson. Detroit's Jackson has rounded into nice current form with 7 walks and 31 strikeouts in his last four starts while Oakland's Anderson is winless in his five MLB career team starts with a 5.29 ERA thus far. Stay at home with the better arm here tonight.
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Rob Vinciletti

MLB | May 15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves Total 9 un-120

On Friday night the Bonus Play is on the UNDER in the Atlanta-Arizona game.Rotation numbers 959/60 at 7:35 eastern.Arizona has been an under machine this year,as they are a poor offensive team.They are 1-9 to the under this year on the road and have gone under in 40 of 55 games the last 3 years on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.After a game this year where they allowed 10 or more runs they have slid under 3 of 4 times.Tonight they send veteran Lefty D.Davis to the hill in Atlanta.In his only start there the last 3 years he is 1-0 with a 1.29 era allowing just 1 earned run in 7+ innings work.For the Braves its righy J.Vazquez.Tonight he will get back on track vs a weak Diamondback team.Look for this game to go under the total tonight.Those looking for something to pound consider the big 17-3 MLB SYSTEM PLAY on tonights card.I have swept the bases board the last 3 nights.Start your weekend off right tonight with another big bases winner.For the Bonus Play take the under 9 runs in the AZ-Atlanta game bol RV.
 

Say Hello To My Little Friend, Steve Puppet!
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Al DeMarco has another release today. He won his Yankees pick yesterday.

N.L. Underdog Lock of the Month


5 Dime Release
 

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A J PIERZYNSKI YTD:

1 unit Plays: 217-202 +13.01 units
2 unit Plays: 189-114 +123.22 units
Total: 406-316 +136.23 units

Nym/Sf Under 8 -106 (2 units)
 

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Seabass

Anybody have his plays.
Thanks.


Your last five posts have been requests for this guy. They get posted.

Stop being ignorant and take your requests to the request thread.

Or if you need it early, get it yourself.
 

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On Saturday, our wagers include two bets on Friesan Fire to Win and to Place, and an Exacta Box on Friesan Fire and Rachel Alexandra.

Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Thanks al. I know nothing about horses but would venture to guess they are the two favorites in this race. al already crapped the bed in the derby with friesan, why not charge folks again and give them chalk.:>(
 

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:cripwalk:$$$IntheBank:cripwalk:

*Bonus Play*
Braves (-1.5) vs. D-Backs 10 units

Rays (-1.5) vs. Indians 15 units

Mets @ Giants (Under 8) 20 units

Phillies @ Nationals (Under 10) 20 units

Sit back and ....:money8: ...Watch the money pile up!!!
GL fellas!
 

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:cripwalk:$$$IntheBank:cripwalk:

*Bonus Play*
Braves (-1.5) vs. D-Backs 10 units

Rays (-1.5) vs. Indians 15 units

Mets @ Giants (Under 8) 20 units

Phillies @ Nationals (Under 10) 20 units

Sit back and ....:money8: ...Watch the money pile up!!!
GL fellas!


Any Records for this service ??@)
 
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GameHunter

2009 Record: 139-119, +50.8499 Quirks
Thursday: 3-4, -1.6725 units

Today I am due for one miracle win I do not deserve. Need one of my memorable Fridays from the past two seasons. Sorry, been too busy to answer everyone's questions. Good luck today.


HOUSTON +140 (1.75 UNITS)

COLORADO +105 (1.5 UNITS)

FLORIDA -130 (1.75 UNITS)

SAN DIEGO +117 (1.5 UNITS)

WHITE SOX +124 (1.25 UNITS)

OVER PHIL/WASH 9.5 RUNS (-105) (2 UNITS)

UNDER MILW/STL 8.5 RUNS (-105) (1.75 UNITS)

OVER MINN/YANKS 10 RUNS (-120) (1.5 UNITS)

UNDER WHITE SOX/TORONTO 8.5 RUNS (-110) (1.5 UNITS)

OVER CLE/TB 9.5 RUNS (-107) (2.25 UNITS)
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John Ryan

Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers
Play: Oakland Athletics

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Oakland as they face Detroit slated to start at 7:05 EST. Oakland is 175-129 (+48.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. Detroit is 48-69 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in home games versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 since 1997. Oakland is 24-42 (-17.8 Units) against the money line after 3 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 3 seasons. Leyland is 21-7 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games versus a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better. Oakland starter Anderson may 0-3, but he far better than that record would indicate. As is the case with 90% of pitchers he truly needs to work ahead in the count. Batters hit just 226 after an 0-1 count, 067 after an 0-2 count. Batters hit 326 after a 1-0 count. Another key advantage that he has it that Detroit has never faced him live. It is one thing to review scouting reports and watch video, but it is a completely different thing to actually face that pitcher. Take Oakland.
 
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Cajun Sports

Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates

PNC Park will be the site of tonight’s National League battle between the host Pittsburgh Pirates and the visiting Colorado Rockies. The Rockies have found the going tough on the highway this season posting a record of 6-10 W/L for -2.4 units. If the Rockies are under the lights they are 6-12 W/L for -7.0 units. Colorado’s ability to score runs drops off when they are away from Coors averaging only 4.0 runs per game with a batting average of only .236 on the season. The Rockies will hang their hopes on Jorge De La Rosa who is 0-3 W/L on the year including 0-1 W/L in three road appearances. Pittsburgh was getting solid pitching performances during the month of April but the month of May has been a much different story. They will send left-hander Paul Maholm to the bump with his 3-1 W/L record which includes a 2-0 W/L record at home with an ERA of 2.66. He is coming off one of his worst outings of the season and we look for him to rebound against this Rockies team. Pittsburgh is 16-6 W/L in Maholms last 22 home starts and 10-1 W/L his last 11 as a home favorite. Colorado is 18-40 W/L their last 58 road games versus teams with a winning home record and 20-45 W/L when installed as a road underdog. The Rockies are 1-5 W/L in De La Rosa’s last 6 starts, 0-5 W/L when he is an underdog and 0-4 W/L when he is a road underdog. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Pirates win by 2.0 runs in tonight’s game and the Math Model also favors Pittsburgh with them capturing the home win by 1.5 runs. Lay the chalk with the host as the Pirates and Maholm get the job done on Friday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Pittsburgh Pirates 5 Colorado Rockies 3
 
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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Detroit w/Jackson vs Anderson

The Tigers open a three game set with the A's in the Motor City tonight when Edwin Jackson takes on Brett Anderson. Detroit's Jackson has rounded into nice current form with 7 walks and 31 strikeouts in his last four starts while Oakland's Anderson is winless in his five MLB career team starts with a 5.29 ERA thus far. Stay at home with the better arm here tonight.
 
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Jimmy The Moose

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies have struggled of late but tonight they start a series vs. a Washington team they play well against. Philadelphia is on the road where they have played very well this season. The Phillies have won 8 of their last 11 road games. Philadelphia also has won 10 of Blanton's last 13 starts. The Nationals are 11-21 on the year. Washington sends Lannan to the mound and the Nationals have lost his last 4 starts vs. Philadelphia. The Nationals are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings. Philadelphia is 7-3 in their last 10 trips to Washington. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies -.
 
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Masterbets

Bet on the RED SOX to win straight up

Lester returns to Washington, his home state, to pitch against the sliding Mariners. Seattle played above their ability in April but are in the process of coming back to earth. They're at home here but it won't make a difference as there is a gulf in quality between the two starting pitchers. Jakubaus got lit up at the Twins last time and will be out of his depth with these Boston match ups. Look for Lester to set up a RED SOX victory here tonight.
 

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